Retirement Planning
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Why Retirement Planning Starts Now
Key idea
- The sooner you save/invest, the more compounding works for you (time value of money).
First rule of retirement investing
- Diversification.
- As retirement approaches, rebalance toward safer investments to protect against large losses.
Retirement Planning Is Your Responsibility
What retirement changes
- Income shifts from wages to:
- employer-based retirement benefits,
- personal savings/investments,
- Social Security (or similar system),
- possibly part-time work.
Modern reality
- Many employer plans are voluntary; contribution and investment risk sit with the employee.
- Bottom line: you are responsible for meeting your retirement needs.
Income replacement guideline
- Many planners estimate you need about 80–100% of pre-retirement gross income (including Social Security) to maintain lifestyle.
- Others may accept 60–70% depending on desired lifestyle.
Social Security (Lecture Highlights)
How it’s funded
- Wage earners pay a payroll tax each paycheck (often capped for the Social Security portion).
- Self-employed individuals pay both “sides” of the payroll tax (lecture emphasis).
Estimating Your Retirement Savings Goal (Nest Egg)
Retirement nest egg
- Total accumulated savings/investments needed to support retirement lifestyle.
High-level steps (worksheet logic)
- Estimate annual income needed in retirement (today’s dollars).
- Estimate annual income from Social Security + pensions (today’s dollars).
- Compute annual shortfall that must come from your savings/investments.
- Convert annual shortfall into a lump sum needed at retirement (PV of an annuity).
- Subtract the future value of current retirement savings.
- Convert remaining gap into required annual (or monthly) saving.
Illustration (Erik Example Logic)
Given (lecture story):
- Current salary: $50,000
- Retirement income goal: 70% → $35,000/year (today’s dollars)
- Social Security: $13,200/year
- Pension: $5,800/year
- Social Security + pension = $19,000/year
- Additional needed = $16,000/year (today’s dollars)
Nest egg math (lecture results):
- Needed at retirement for the shortfall: $238,040 (using assumption of returns 3% above inflation and 20 years of income need)
- Current retirement savings: $37,000
- Future value of current savings at 3% over 27 years: $82,188
- Remaining nest egg needed: 238,040 – 82,188 = 155,852
- Required annual saving to reach $155,852 in 27 years at 3%: $3,828/year
- If already saving $2,000/year in 401(k), additional needed: $1,828/year (~$153/month)
Employer Plans and Advice
Employer-sponsored plans
- Often offered to recruit/retain employees.
- Participation tends to be higher at larger firms (lecture observation).
Using advice
- Some plans offer one-on-one advice or managed allocations for a fee.
- Good advice considers total household retirement assets, not just one account.
Living in Retirement Without Running Out of Money
The 3 drivers of “how long will my money last?”
- Nest egg size
- Rate of return earned
- Amount withdrawn each year
Withdrawal calculation (PV annuity idea)
If you want a nest egg PV to last t years at return r, annual withdrawal PMT is:
PMT = PV ÷ PVA factor(r, t)
Lecture example:
- PV = 250,000; r = 6%
- 20 years: PVA factor = 11.4699 → PMT = 250,000 ÷ 11.4699 = 21,796 (~$1,816/month)
- 30 years: factor = 13.7648 → PMT = 18,162 (~$1,513/month)
Annuities (Lecture Idea)
What it does
- Exchange a lump sum (part of nest egg) for a promise of regular payments, often for life.
- Insurance company manages funds and sends monthly distributions per contract.
Key Terms & Definitions
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Retirement nest egg | Total savings/investments needed at retirement |
| Income replacement rate | % of pre-retirement income needed in retirement |
| Rebalancing | Adjusting portfolio mix (often safer as retirement nears) |
| Withdrawal plan | Systematic withdrawals from retirement assets |
| Annuity | Contract exchanging lump sum for scheduled payments |
Exam Tips
- ✅ Retirement planning is mostly time value of money + budgeting logic.
- ✅ Know the income replacement rule of thumb (80–100%).
- ✅ Be able to explain the three factors that determine how long money lasts.
- ✅ Be comfortable using annuity ideas to compute savings or withdrawals.
Practice Problems
Problem 1: Income shortfall
You want $48,000/year in retirement (today’s dollars). Social Security + pension is $30,000/year.
Find: shortfall.
Solution: 48,000 – 30,000 = 18,000 per year.
Problem 2: Withdrawal amount (given factor)
Nest egg is $400,000. If the PVA factor is 12.5, what annual withdrawal does this support?
Solution: 400,000 ÷ 12.5 = 32,000 per year.
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